From the only polling firm that’s worth a flip, this was the picture last night in Virginia:

  • John McCain 48%, Mike Huckabee 37%
  • Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, McCain is down 9, Huckabee is up 12. McCain had led by 32, now leads by 11.
  • Among Conservative voters, McCain had led by 21, now trails by 5.
  • Among Pro-Life voters, McCain had led by 20 points, now trails by 6.
  • Among voters in Southeast VA, McCain had led by 28, now trails by 12.
  • Among voters focused on Immigration, McCain had led by 16, now trails by 17.
  • Among voters who attend religious services regularly, McCain had led by 24, now trails by 2.

The Republican base hates McCain. The Republican establishment hates McCain.

But he’s still going to limp into the nomination.